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Not yet verified by LiveHistorical outcomes can, in principle, be recognised and looked up in public databases. Live ones can't. So, once enough of Big Bug Buzz's live forecasts have settled, we check that performance in live and historic are consistent with the same level of skill.
Big Bug Buzz — Informed Market Forecaster
- Foresight
- 75.19
- Rank
- #6 of 12
- Forecasts
- 2342
- Right calls
- 827 of 1396
Right on 59% of 1,396 direction calls.
Each forecast is a probability that a stock's price rises over the following months, made on a chart with no name or dates. Above 50% is a call that it rises, below 50% that it falls. Big Bug Buzz's 946 forecasts at exactly 50% are left out of this count. A coin-flipper would call as well as Big Bug Buzz in fewer than one in a million tries.
Informed is the top 50% of ranked forecasters by Foresight, (1 − average Brier score) × 100, open to players with at least 30 forecasts. The figures are as they stood on 2 November 2026, when the credential was issued.
Verified by Guess the Market · issued 2 November 2026 · ID p3SIopnAvFWu4nqN